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Energy · Press release

Joseph Grinkorn: The Next Big Short as Oil Could Fall to Under $50 a Barrel Before Year's End

Grinkorn says the market may be underpricing a fast reversal in crude as geopolitical tensions ease and global demand slows.

Oil pump jack silhouetted against a red sunset

Key points

  • Grinkorn forecasts that crude oil could fall below $50 a barrel before the end of 2026.
  • If Middle East conflicts ease or diplomacy advances, the geopolitical risk premium in oil could disappear quickly.
  • Slowing growth in manufacturing and consumer spending across several major economies could cut energy demand.
  • Higher output from major producers, combined with softer demand, would add further downward pressure.
  • He acknowledges that an escalation or production cuts could lift prices for a time, but sees the balance of risk to the downside.
“Markets may rapidly reprice oil.”
Joseph Grinkorn, Chief Executive Officer, Morris Group

Original release

This is a summary of a press release issued by Morris Group and published by King Newswire · Daily Tribune on May 16, 2026. Figures are as stated in the original release.

Read the full release

Views expressed are those of Joseph Grinkorn, are forward-looking, and do not constitute investment advice or an offer to buy or sell any security.

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